Key Links

General (non-climate)

• Retration Watch.
• Why Most Published Research Findings Are False, John P. A. Ioannidis, 2005
• Cargo-cult statistics and scientific crisis, Philip B. Stark & Andrea Saltelli, 2018
• What is Enlightenment?, Immanuel Kant
• What has happened down here is the winds have changed, Andrew Gelman, 2016
• The Puzzle of Paul Meehl: An intellectual history of research criticism in psychology
• Daily Sceptic
• Weave
• Norman Fenton, Bayesian stats

Climate - key news and studies

These are key links I consider most important. The top 3 are key. Bible, if you will. The others are just here so I can conveniently find them!

• By 2021, of 79 “apocalyptic” predictions formulated since 1970 by “researchers and activists” who “predict cataclysmic events” resulting from “catastrophic climate change.” Already 48 of these “truly apocalyptic forecasts” have failed. The other 31 are likely just as wrong, but the prediction end dates haven’t expired yet, as “the apocalypse is always about 20 years out.”
  NotricksZone | article |
• Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: a multicountry observational study

  <- Gives man-made climate skeptics the high moral ground, and turns climate alarmists into moral degenerates.

• Novel the greenhouse gas effect, by Tom Shula. The greenhouse gas effect is the result of an error when modelling the behaviour of radiative gases in the atmosphere (AKA: greenhouse gases). Their error is to use the Stefan-Boltzmann Law (SBL) to calculate outgoing long wave emissions from the surface. SBL is only valid for substances in vacuum. Earth's surface is not a vacuum. Tom Shula demonstrates the error empirically using the Pirani gauge
  Video interview | paper & slides
• Environmentalists Spent a Record $2.4 Billion Pushing Global Warming Ideology

  <- Shows the essential nature of climate alarmism = rich people shitting on the poor.

• Substantial decline in atmospheric aridity due to irrigation in India

  Falsifies the greenhouse gas effect.

• Austin Williams
• 50 Years Ago, Sugar Industry Quietly Paid Scientists To Point Blame At Fat
• Climate Blame Game, William M Briggs
• Distorting the view of our climate future: The misuse and abuse of climate pathways and scenarios
• Postprandial glycaemic dips predict appetite and energy intake in healthy individuals
• From Europe to Alaska, parts of the world are exceptionally cold right now
• Holocene was much warmer than today | According to a new study, eastern Mediterranean summer temperatures were 1.5°C to 3°C “greater than the present” from about 11,000 to 7,000 years ago, when CO2 levels were 265 ppm. Then the temperatures “followed a gradual decline towards present-day conditions”.
• Antarctic Ice OK
• 61 studies show: climate models are rubbish
• Polar bears do not need sea ice to catch prey | Polar bear's range dynamics and survival in the Holocene
• corals not harmed by warming | Liu et al., 2023 | Gischler et al., 2023
• Benefits of not meeting paris accord emissions-reduction targets outweigh the costs | https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/epdf/10.1142/S2010007823400031

Introduction to Climate (Videos)

• Great Global Warming Swindle Full Movie
• Professor Lindzen on climate change
• Professor Lindzen : 2018 GWPF Lecture
• Dr Richard Keen - Show Me The Data
• Patrick Michaels interview
• Ivar Giaever: Global Warming is Pseudoscience
• Ivar Giaever: Global Warming Revisited
• How the Global Warming Scare Began
• Prof Richard Lindzen - Global Warming For The Two Cultures
• Global Warming, Lysenkoism & Eugenics - Prof Richard Lindzen
• Climatologist Roy Spencer - The Bias in Climate Science
• Professor Valentina Zharkova: The Solar Magnet Field
• Mann's Hockey Stick "Whitewash" - Steve McIntyre
• How Homogenization Destroys Climate Science

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Greenhouse Gas Effect, GHGE

This is central for scientists supporting the so-called climate consensus view

There are at least 4 important skeptical scientific positions on it.

1. Most of the GHGE warming is due to feedback effects which the modellers got wrong. Lord Monckton Full Synopsis of Mathematical Falisification For Global Warming Models
2. Models are too crude and biased to CO₂. A better model can be written to give more importantance to water vapour GHGE.

   E.g. Dr. David Evans

3. Models are fundamentally wrong and the GHGE is misinformation

   E.g. Dr. Roy Clark. An entirely different model is needed.

   • The Climate Greenhouse Effect
   • A Null Hypothesis For CO₂
   • Dynamic Greenhouse Effect and the Climate Averaging Paradox (short book)
4. Models are wrong and the greenhouse effect is best explained by other means.

   E.g. Ned Nikolov and Karl Zeller

Terms

• Greenhouse Effect: The earth is warmer with an atmosphere than it would be without an atmosphere. By about 33 K
• Greenhouse Gas Effect (GHGE): This greenhouse effect is due to greenhouse gases
• Greenhouse Gas (GHG): Are gases (like CO₂ and water vapour) able to absorb and emit mostly IR radiation (but sometimes UV too). (Visible radiation is largely ignored). GHGE is due to the absorption and emission delaying heat loss from the atmosphere.

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• Oceans / Climate
  • Climate Change, due to Solar Variability or Greenhouse Gases? Part A
  • Climate Change, due to Solar Variability or Greenhouse Gases? Part B
  • Plateau In Global Ocean Temperatures Persists
• What is it?
  • What is Climate?
  • Median ECS estimate = 1.6 K, Lewis & Curry
• Paleoclimate
  • Modern Warming – Climate Variability or Climate Change?
  • Geology behind climate change, by Dr Robert Fagan
• The Sun
  • Do-It-Yourself: The solar variability effect on climate
• Ocean acidification
  • How NOAA and Bad Modeling Invented an “Ocean Acidification” Icon: Part 1 – Sea Butterflies, by Jim Steele
  • How NOAA and Bad Modeling Invented an “Ocean Acidification” Icon: Part 2 – Bad Models, by Jim Steele
• Carbon Dioxide
  • Logarithmic Effect of Carbon Dioxide, by David Archibald
  • Diminishing effect of increasing CO2 concentrations on global temperature, by Ed Hoskins
  • Effectiveness of CO2 as a greenhouse gas becomes ever more marginal with greater concentration, by Ed Hoskins
• Models
  • It is not a boundary value problem
  • Climate Models for the Layman (pdf), by Judith Curry
  • Inside the Climate Computer Models, by Mike Jonas
  • Climate Models are NOT Simulating Earth’s Climate – Part 3, by Bob Tisdale
  • Chaos and Climate – Part 1: Linearity, by Kip Hansen
  • Chaos & Climate – Part 2: Chaos = Stability, by Kip Hansen
  • Chaos & Climate – Part 3: Chaos & Models, by Kip Hansen
  • Chaos & Climate – Part 4: An Attractive Idea, by Kip Hansen
  • Collapse of the CAGW Delusion: Untenable Past 2020, by Dr. Norman Page
  • Leading climate scientist Cess admits mathematical errors in the AGW theory, by Kyoji Kimoto
  • The IPCC is Wrong, by William Van Brunt
• Broken Science
  • Evolution of global temperature over the past two million years, by Carolyn W. Snyder
    This paper estimates a climate sensitivity between 7 - 13C. That is: a temperature rise by 7 – 13c per doubling of CO₂ from 280ppm (pre-industrial) to 560ppm. We are already almost half-way there to 560ppm.
  • Climatic Distortions Due to Diminutive Denominators
• Polls / opinion surveys
  • Survey of 1,077 scientists & engineers found only 36% of geoscientists and engineers believe that humans are creating a global warming crisis
  • Meteorologists are often Global Warming Skeptics. 89% of AMS meteorologists believe global warming is happening, but only a 59% blame humanity (CO2). Only 38% of respondents who believe global warming is occurring say it will be very harmful during the next 100 years.
  • Climate not a priority for the public
• Asteroids
  • Previously Unknown Asteroid had a Near Miss with Earth today
• Extinctions
  • New research sheds light on first of five major mass extinctions - caused by cold not heat
• Storms.
  • South England flood of February 1287 redrew England's coastline
• New links:
  • Evidence for natural climate change.
  • Exclusive: inside the media conspiracy to hype Greta Thunberg, by Chris White
  • Reddit, Climate Change
  • Looking behind the scenes of the well-orchestrated climate hysteria, by Sanjeev Sabhlok
  • Propagation of Error and the Reliability of Global Air Temperature Projections, by Patrick Frank
  • The Conventional Basic Climate Model — the engine of “certain” warming, by David Evans
  • Greenplate Effect – It Doesn’t Happen!, by Geraint Hughes
  • Evidence – CO2 Is Not A Greenhouse Gas, by Geraint Hughes
  • Climate and clouds, by climate4you
  • Quantum Mechanics and Raman Spectroscopy Refute Greenhouse Theory, by Blair D. Macdonald
  • World Climate Declaration
  • Scientists Skeptical of Anthropogenic Global Warming (Facebook)