Sunday, 20 December 2020

Scientists find more CO2 causes land surface cooling

Biophysical impacts of Earth greening largely controlled by aerodynamic resistance
Satellite observations show widespread increasing trends of leaf area index (LAI), known as the Earth greening. However, the biophysical impacts of this greening on land surface temperature (LST) remain unclear. Here, we quantify the biophysical impacts of Earth greening on LST from 2000 to 2014 and disentangle the contributions of different factors using a physically based attribution model.
... We find that 93% of the global vegetated area shows negative sensitivity of LST to LAI increase at the annual scale, especially for semiarid woody vegetation. Further considering the LAI trends (P ≤ 0.1), 30% of the global vegetated area is cooled by these trends and 5% is warmed ...
93% of the global vegetated area shows ∂Tsbio/∂LAI < 0 with an average of −0.36 ± 0.22 K m2 m−2 (mean ± 1 SD, where SD indicates spatial variability). We find that the mean magnitude of ∂Tsbio/∂LAI is larger in temperate regions (−0.44 K m2 m−2) than those in high-latitude (−0.34 K m2 m−2) and tropical regions (−0.29 K m2 m−2) ...

LAI = leaf area index = a measure of vegetation.
LST = land surface temperature

Thursday, 17 December 2020

Neoliberalism

You probably hear a lot of bad things against Neoliberalism from the woke and left media. It's a general swear word they use when talking about capitalism. A way to dis' capitalism by implying capitalism got worse and turned into something more evil: 'Neoliberalism'.

It is: In fact: what you hear is probably all nonsense. Neoliberalism was specifically, an attempt to make things better by making more human interactions more market like: to apply market principles to otherwise, non-market relationships. For example, Neolibs wanted a market like solution to pollution. They thought they could use the tax system to "make the polluter pay". Using, for example, fines, penalties, to the tax system to act like negative money. In it's essence that's all neoliberalism really is.

What it's not: There are lot's of other iseas associtated with Neoliberalism, supported by the same people who promoted Neoliberalism. Ideas such as free movement of labour and abolishing trade tarriffs. But those other ideas weren't new.

Why Neoliberalism fails? It fails for the same reasons all government interference in the economy fails. Government thinks it knows best. It doesn't. Unfortunately Big Gov does not care. Because everyone in Big Gov is using Neo-lib policies, they are all, neolibs. Even the woke and left critics of neoliberalism are neo-libs. Despite it's failures, Neoliberalism remains without real critics because governments never abolish useless regulations.

Saturday, 28 November 2020

UK 2030 'zero carbon' electricity needs.

We'll probably need to, at least, triple electricity supply in the end to move to 'zero carbon'. Double to move vehicles to electricity. Tripling it will also do away with gas boilers. We can't get to zero carbon. There are no plans for zero carbon ocean: frieght, air traffic, nor heavy industry. Just road traffic and domestic heating.

Some UK stats:

  • 2018 UK electricity use = 333 TWh
  • Average of 2.5 million new vehicles are sold in UK each year (average for last 10 years)
  • UK has 38.36 million licensed vehicles.
  • Making the average lifetime of a vehicle ~ 15.4 years
  • In 2018, total UK motor vehicle fuel use = 37 million tonnes
  • UK vehicles use about 430 TWh/year of fuel.
  • Motor vehicle traffic was at a record high in 2019 as 356.5 billion vehicle miles (bvm) were driven on Great Britain’s roads, a 2 per cent increase from the previous year.

Assuming higher electric car efficiency, we need to add about 333/15 TWh per year in electricty generation until we've doubled it after about 15 years. About 22 TWh/year. But we're also banning domestic gas boilers! So make that about 13% more electricy per year (about 44 TWh) for 15 years. This is 5GWe of dispatchable plant per year. Nuclear plants take about 6 years from 1st concrete to finish and another year of testing before they are connected to the grid. At least 7 years. I see no plans to build NPPs from 2023. We begin phasing out the existing nuclear fleet in 2022. It should all be decommissioned by 2030.

If we build more wind turbines we need to build natural gas plants to supply dispatchable electricity in a wind lull.

The World State [A True Story] | New Class

The World State [A True Story] | New Class by Martin Durkin time 0:00 In recent films, I've started to build an argument t...