Friday 14 February 2020

Let's re-employ climate modellers to do less harm

This is a comment to David Wojick's article questioning computer climate models, or General Circulation Models. I took it one step further.

David criticises models well. Climate models don’t work. But there’s another model David forgot to criticise – the greenhouse gas effect, GHGE, model. This mini-model is embedded in the big computer climate models. It’s responsible for creating the basic warming which the big model then amplifies to project global catastrophe in model-world. The GHGE conjecture goes back to 1967 when it was first published in its modern form by Manabe and Wetherald. It has never been tested nor validated. GHGE model is just a conjecture or thought experiment. It is unscientific. After I point this out, climate alarmists tell me that “we only have one planet, do you want to burn the planet for your test?”. Most people would end their criticism right there. Yet, we don’t actually need a second planet to test GHGE model. It’s already been tested and failed. For example, GHGE model predicts the wrong lapse rate value, wrong temperature for earth’s surface, wrong upper troposphere heat spot. GHGE failed every test given it. It has been tested and failed. Yet the climate establishment don’t accept these failed tests for their favourite pseudoscience. They say only they are allowed to define a suitable test for their mini-model. Yet they can’t. As such, GHGE turned into the climate model which dare not speak its name. Brushed under the table; pretend “settled science”.

For modellers, junking the GHGE would be the same as sacking themselves. If politicians are no longer scared out of their wits what’s the point of climate modelling, and modellers, with their multi-decade long failures? Let them do something useful, rather than subsidising them to frighten pre-teens out of their minds into suicidal hell.

Modellers will never give it up. Instead, we have to give up funding them.

We need to stop supporting the basic greenhouse gas premise, and all other speculative pseudoscience's based on untested conjecture. There’s no evidence for carbon dioxide warming the climate. There’s good evidence the greenhouse gas effect conjecture is wrong.

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